11/13/2023 0 Comments Conference realignment 2017Second, new media companies could make strange bids. Traditional cable networks may not bid as much in the next wave of realignment, and when the pie shrinks, the world can get wild. ESPN and other cable networks are losing millions of subscribers because of cord cutting. First, revenue for cable companies is dissipating. If current GOR means that movement is unlikely until 2024 or 2025, then we should all recognize the world is going to be radically different by then. Why would Texas or Oklahoma bolt for a different league in 2021 or sometime before the expiration of the GOR, if they feared Baylor, Kansas State, Iowa State and West Virginia would sue for all lost television revenue from them not fulfilling their contracts? Maybe nearly all the members of the Big 12 end up in different leagues and the Big 12’s GOR becomes irrelevant, but the threat that a few members would stay behind and sue to enforce the GOR would make any move before that date difficult. The PAC 12’s runs through the 2023-2024 season. The Big 12’s Grant of Rights (GOR) runs through the 2024-2025 season. The biggest reason is that there’s a ton of time left for teams in their current television contracts. Realignment is tough to predict for a host of reasons. We should all be cognizant that being right once may not tell us much about the future. But being right about what the Big 12 would do in 2016 tells us little about what happens next. Sure enough, the Big 12 spent a lot of time contemplating and ultimately added nobody. My thesis was that at least three schools would block any new member because the benefit from adding any new institution did not outweigh the problems those new schools would present in the next wave of realignment. When many seemed certain the Big 12 would expand, I argued that the Big 12 would remain at 10 members. I was right about the last round of realignment, but that means nothing for the future. The truth everyone should admit is that they have no idea what the next wave of realignment will bring. Those variables would include: the state of the economy in 2024, what happened in the 2020 election, if the country is at war and who is running for President in 2024.ĭespite recognizing how ridiculous it is to believe anybody can tell you who will win the 2024 Presidential election, some people are now acting certain about how conference realignment will look in 20. You’d have to sort through a million variables that will be relevant to have any confidence in that prediction. The Sun Belt will have 10 members in 2018 with the addition of Coastal Carolina and the subtraction of Idaho and New Mexico State, and the league will play a 9-game full round-robin conference schedule.If someone asked you who will win the 2024 Presidential election, you’d probably recognize that’s nearly impossible to do. A conference can choose to either play their championship game between division winners after round-robin competition in each division, or between the top two teams in the conference standings following full round-robin regular-season competition between all members of the conference. Rules set forward by the Division I Council in January allow conferences with fewer than 12 members to hold championship games in football, as long as they meet one of two conditions. Details regarding how the two participants will be selected will be available at a later date. The Sun Belt will begin staging a championship game in 2018. Out: Idaho (FCS), New Mexico State (future plans TBD) NOTE: The Big Ten will begin a 9-game conference slate in 2016, playing all 6 schools from its own division and 3 cross-divisional games. Here are the changes for 2016 and beyond. Overall, the number of schools competing at the FBS level remains at 128. New Mexico State has yet to determine its future As a result, Idaho will drop to the FCS level in 2018 and join the Big Sky Conference. In 2017, the Sun Belt's 4-year agreements with Idaho and New Mexico State. The Big 12 will begin staging a championship game in 2017. Also in 2017, Coastal Carolina will play a transition season in the Sun Belt and become bowl eligible in 2018. UAB, which shut down its program after the 2014 season, is reconstituting its program and will rejoin Conference USA in 2017. Massachusetts leaves the MAC to become an independent in 2016. 2016 College Football Conference Realignment Jby Dave Congrove
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